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- Renewable Energy
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Updated coverage of these markets was released in April 2011.It has always been apparent that organic photovoltaics (OPV) would not easily match the conversion efficiencies of the inorganic thin-film PV technologies or conventional silicon PV. Nonetheless, OPV has been expected to easily compete with its rivals on cost. Unfortunately, for OPV, this assumption is now being challenged. The cost of OPV has not declined as quickly as many had hoped, while competitive technologies have seen more rapid than anticipated reductions in cost. It is no longer a foregone conclusion that OPV will be the cheapest PV technology.Does this mean that the end of the road is near for OPV? We don't believe so. In this new report NanoMarkets analyzes the OPV industry and show which applications will preserve the OPV market as a growth business. OPV has some unique features that distinguish it from the inorganic TFPVs; features like extreme flexibility and ease of manufacturing that can allow it to enter some markets where the other PV technologies cannot.In this report, NanoMarkets discusses how and where these distinguishing features can be turned in opportunities. We also examine where hybrid organic/inorganic PV, notably dye sensitized cells (DSCs), is making its mark; in building integrated PV and other areas.This report provides NanoMarkets' latest analysis and forecasts of the opportunities available in OPV and DSC markets. The focus for growth in the OPV/DSC business now look very different than predicted even a year ago. So this report is essential reading for any firm seeking to generate new business revenues in this industry.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary:E.1 Introduction: OPV and DSC in a Competitive MarketplaceE.2 What's Changed Since Last YearE.3 Capitalizing on Unique Features of OPV and DSCE.4 Where OPV and DSC Will FailE.5 Opportunities for Technology ImprovementE.6 Opportunities for Filling Market NichesE.7 Firms to WatchE.8 Summary of Eight-Year ForecastsChapter One: Introduction1.1 Background to this Report1.1.1 Cost Considerations1.1.2 Performance: Can It Be Redefined?1.1.3 Applications: How Can OPV and DSC Change the Rules?1.2 Objectives and Scope of this Report1.3 Methodology of this Report1.4 Plan of this ReportChapter Two: OPV and DSC Technologies and Materials: What's New? What's Improved?2.1 OPV and DSC: The State of the Art2.1.1 OPV Cell Architecture2.1.2 DSC Cell Architecture2.1.3 Tandem Cells2.1.4 The Bandgap, the HOMO, and the LUMO2.2 Recent Improvements in Efficiency in the Lab and in Commercial Production2.2.1 OPV Efficiency2.2.2 DSC Efficiency2.2.3 Low-Light Efficiency2.3 Cost Considerations: Only the Cheap Survive2.3.1 OPV Cost Reduction Opportunities2.3.2 DSC Cost Reduction Opportunities2.4 New Developments in OPV and DSC Materials2.4.1 The Encapsulation Imperative2.4.2 OPV with Inorganics: The New Hybrid Approaches2.5 Printing, OPV, and DSC: Is This Really the Key to Low Cost?2.6 Key Points Made in this ChapterChapter Three: The New Markets for OPV and DSC3.1 Introduction: Differentiating OPV and DSC from Other PV Technologies3.1.1 Competing on Performance: Depends on Definition of "Performance"3.1.2 Competing on Cost: The Race with Inorganic TFPV3.1.3 What's Left to Compete On?3.2 Off-Grid Applications for OPV and DSC3.2.1 The Return of the "Solar Calculator"3.2.2 Battery Charging and Portable Electronics3.2.3 Power for Signs3.2.4 PV Anywhere: PV Textiles, Clothing, and Tarps3.3 On-Grid Applications for OPV and DSC3.3.1 Utilities and Conventional Panels3.3.2 BIPV, Architecture, and the Power of Plastic3.4 New Opportunities for OPV and DSC in Emerging Electronics3.4.1 OPV/DSC and Batteries: A Powerful Pair?3.4.2 RFID Finds a New Power Supply?3.4.3 Truly Disposable PV: Can OPV Make it Happen?3.5 Key Points Made in this ChapterChapter Four: Eight-Year Forecasts for OPV and DSC Materials and Devices4.1 Forecasting Methodology4.1.1 Data Sources4.1.2 Scope of Forecast4.2 Alternative Scenarios4.3 Eight-Year Forecasts of OPV Materials4.4 Eight-Year Forecasts of DSC Materials4.5 Eight-Year Forecasts of OPV Devices by Application4.6 Eight-Year Forecasts of DSC Devices by Application4.7 Summary of ForecastsChapter Five: Profiles of Companies Active in OPV and DSC Markets5.1 Agfa5.2 BASF5.3 Dyesol5.4 G24i5.5 Global Photonic Energy5.6 H.C. Starck5.7 Heliatek5.8 Konarka5.9 Merck5.10 Mitsubishi5.11 Peccell5.12 Plextronics5.13 Solarmer5.14 Solaronix5.15 SolarPrint5.16 SonyAbbreviations and Acronyms Used In this ReportAbout the AuthorList of ExhibitsExhibit E-1: Summary of Eight-Year Forecasts of OPV and DSC Revenues ($ Millions)Exhibit 4-1: OPV Module RevenuesExhibit 4-2: OPV Materials CostsExhibit 4-3: DSC Module RevenuesExhibit 4-4: DSC Materials Costs ($ Millions)Exhibit 4-5: OPV Revenues for Grid-Connected ApplicationsExhibit 4-6: OPV Revenues for Off-Grid ApplicationsExhibit 4-7: OPV Revenues by ApplicationsExhibit 4-8: DSC Revenues for Grid-Connected ApplicationsExhibit 4-9: DSC Revenues for Off-Grid ApplicationsExhibit 4-10: DSC Revenues by ApplicationExhibit 4-11: Summary of OPV and DSC Revenues ($ Millions)Exhibit 5-1: Agfa's Orgacon LineExhibit 5-2: H.C. Starck PEDOT:PSS MaterialsExhibit 5-3: H.C. Starck's Roadmap to High-Conductivity Clevios